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Rosette

For decision making, we have several methods to find the best option. Examples are minimax rule, monetarization, utility analysis, AHP, and optimality curves (see PR1-F04). 

They all have in common that the decision is generally made in order to achieve a specific goal. But unfortunately, in real life the goal is not always clear. Therefore, with the rosette the argumentations is turned from head to feet: We ask which option will be the best when we modify the goal.

As an example, we take the same example as with the other decision making methods with the same “scores” as well. And – like with school grades – we accept to treat them like cardinal numbers. That way we can use the mathematical operations of addition and multiplication. Then we play with weighing in order to clarify the effect of changing priorities on option ranking.

When we take economy as the sole criterion (100% weight), we get the following optima:



If we select ecology as the sole criterion (100% weight), we get the following optima:

And finally, if we choose social aspects as the sole criterion (100% weight), we get the following optima:

Until now, it seems confusing. But by introducing some finer transitions, hopefully we shall find a pattern. We will calculate these transitions with the weights:

 

When we paint all 10 combinations and arrange them to a "rosette", we can put our winners the three poles:




We can make it separately for the effectiveness and the efficiency or as combination of both for the suitability (like above).
Here we see the result of the example for all aspects:

Under efficiency aspects 

  • #0 Zero-option is the winner, when we don’t think at the economic dimension.
  • #1 pT skidder wins, when we fade out the ergonomic disadvantages.
  • #3 fC winch-assist is the best option under the economic and ergonomic views.





Under point of view of effectiveness

  • #3 fC winch assist is nearly the overall winner.
  • #0 zero-option is evaluated on a comparable level when economy is not considered.
  • #2 pT yarder is the best option when we simply focus on effectiveness.



And when we combine both, efficiency and effectiveness, things become clearer:

  • #3 fC winch assist is the best option when economy and/or societal aspects play a role.
  • #0 zero-option is better, when ecology comes to the fore.


 
 

The same basics can be used to point out the focus area of a specific option, like here the zero option that is the winer under ecological and societal view.



(See more at PR1-F05)

» Technodiversity Glossary

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